FNUS73 KJKL 081146
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG SWAG...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
646 AM EST MON MAR 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

THE BIG QUESTION FOR THE WEATHER TODAY IS THE AMOUNT OF SKY COVER
WHICH WILL HANG AROUND AFTER THE FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA LAST
NIGHT. THE MAX TEMP AND RH IS BASED ON SOME OF THE CLOUDS CLEARING
OUT.  IF THE CLOUDS HANG IN THERE TODAY...THE MIN RH WILL STAY
CLOSER TO 50...RATHER THAN NEAR 40.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING MORE WESTERLY
                    AFTER 1600.
 UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING MORE WESTERLY
                    AFTER 1600.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500FT AT 11 AM AND 6000 FT AGL BY 3 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....77.

TIME (EST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........51     47     40     37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     62     63     59
RH..............40     38     38     45
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 5   W 3    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8      8      5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
 UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........36     35     33     33     36     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     50     47     45     43     42
RH..............49     64     72     81     85     88
20 FT WIND......W 1    SW 1   S 1    S 1    S 1    S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
 UPR SLP/RIDGETOP...SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....113.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........44     55     69     76     88     93
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............40     46     52     57     60     60
RH..............91     75     59     50     46     47
20 FT WIND......S 1    S 3    S 5    S 6    S 6    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...JACOBSON
REQUESTED BY...ROBIN ACCIARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100308.BIGSW.01/JKL