FNUS74 KLZK 081234 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR LIBERTY AERIAL BURN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 634 AM CST MON MAR 8 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON MARCH 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS TODAY WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST...THEN PUSH THROUGH ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY TO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS MORNING MAINLY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...THEN AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES...IT WILL SPREAD SCATTERED TO AT TIMES NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE. ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND ON TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS THIS MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT SE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............56 59 61 62 63 63 63 62 RH..............58 53 49 46 44 44 46 49 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 12 12 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S S S SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 17 18 18 20 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 40 40 40 40 70 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 22 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 57 55 54 52 52 RH..............49 57 64 70 76 79 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.8 7 7 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 22 22 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 80 80 80 60 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 26 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 57 64 67 RH..............85 70 54 48 20 FT WIND......SE 10 S 13G15 S 14G15 S 14G15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 8 8 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 23 26 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 20 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...TODD HOOPES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100308.LIBER.01/LZK