FNUS74 KLZK 081622 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR MIDDLE RIDGE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1022 AM CST MON MAR 8 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1010 CST ON MARCH 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY...AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN PLAINS. LIGHT SHOWERS CURRENTLY OVER WEST ARKANSAS ARE DRIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST. HOWEVER NOT ALL THE SHOWERS ARE REACHING IT TO THE GROUND...AS THE AIRMASS ENCOUNTERS DRIER AIR AND LOWER DEW POINTS. THE MOISTURE PROFILE WILL BE DEEPENING OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS...AND THIS WILL ALLOW A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST...THEN PUSH THROUGH ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY TO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL SPREAD SCATTERED TO AT -TIMES NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE. ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND ON TUESDAY. A CHANCE OF RAIN STAYS IN THE FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT DUE TO THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN. ON WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER QUICK MOVING STRONG SYSTEM WILL AGAIN BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. THEN A LOWER CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE SEEN OVER ARKANSAS THURSDAY TO FRIDAY...UNTIL THE MAIN UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE AREA LATE FRIDAY. MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE ELEVATED FROM THE SOUTH TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 26 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............57 59 61 63 64 64 64 63 RH..............49 47 45 44 42 42 44 47 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 20 22 23 25 26 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 30 30 30 30 30 60 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 23 TO 29 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1900 FT MSL. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 57 55 53 52 51 RH..............47 55 62 67 74 79 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.28 29 29 28 26 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 80 80 60 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 23 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............50 55 62 66 RH..............84 70 55 49 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 21 21 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 20 $$ FORECASTER...61 REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100308.MIDDL.01/LZK