FNUS73 KPAH 081859 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR GAMMA...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1259 PM CST MON MAR 8 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CST ON MARCH 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ONLY ONE DAY LEFT FOR DECENT BURNING CONDITIONS...AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEMS WILL BRING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE ENTIRE REGION FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO NEXT WEEKEND. -FOR TODAY...A RIDGE ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER WARM DAY. THE CURRENT FORECAST INDICATES RELATIVE HUMIDITIES GENERALLY IN THE 40 TO 45 PERCENT RANGE. DISPERSION COULD BE A PROBLEM DUE TO LIGHT WINDS RESULTING FROM A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 62. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 0 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-3900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR CLR CLR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 61 60 59 RH..............47 42 43 48 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N E 20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 2 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.9 3.5 3.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W S TRANSP WIND SPD.2 1 2 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............57 53 51 49 47 46 RH..............57 66 68 74 86 89 20 FT WIND......E 3 E 4 E 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 1900 600 700 700 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 5 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................75 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............45 50 55 57 RH..............86 68 69 62 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6G10 S 8G20 S 7G20 MIX HGT (FT)....700 1300 2400 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 S 14 S 26 S 22 CWR.............80 80 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100308.GAMMA.02/PAH