FNUS75 KBOU 091403 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER MOUNTAIN PILES...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 700 AM MST TUE MAR 9 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE AREA WILL BE BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS TODAY. NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE DECREASING TODAY...BUT A FAIRLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST OR NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. ON WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER...LIMITING FAIR DISPERSION TO THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. ANY SNOW WILL BE LIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-40. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 MPH DECREASING TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL RISING TO 5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2300...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-21. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 2000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-34. MIN HUMIDITY........42-52%. WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER MOUNTAIN PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/09-06 69 8 26 65 W 8 1 3649 NW 18 58063 F 03/09-07 69 8 27 65 W 6 1 4269 NW 18 66332 G 03/09-08 60 8 29 63 NW 5 5 2 1 NW20 4889 NW 17 74600 G 03/09-09 60 8 31 58 NW 5 1 5135 W 16 72886 G 03/09-10 60 8 33 54 NW 3 1 5381 W 15 71172 G 03/09-11 65 26 35 51 NW 3 3 2 1 NW17 5626 W 14 69458 G 03/09-12 65 26 36 48 NW 3 1 5925 W 13 65153 G 03/09-13 65 26 37 47 NW 3 1 6224 W 12 60849 G 03/09-14 65 26 37 47 W 5 5 2 1 W16 6523 W 10 56544 F 03/09-15 65 26 37 49 W 3 1 6180 W 9 50811 F 03/09-16 65 26 36 52 NW 3 1 5836 W 9 45077 F 03/09-17 88 45 33 58 NW 3 3 2 1 W15 5493 W 8 39344 P 03/09-18 88 45 32 54 W 2 1 5301 W 8 36382 P 03/09-19 88 45 29 57 W 2 1 5109 W 8 33421 P 03/09-20 88 45 27 61 W 5 5 2 1 SW12 4917 W 7 30459 P 03/09-21 88 45 25 67 W 9 1 4300 W 7 26542 P 03/09-22 88 45 24 74 W 8 1 3684 W 7 22625 P 03/09-23 97 63 23 78 W 8 8 2 1 SW 9 3067 W 7 18708 P 03/10-00 97 63 22 81 W 8 1 2670 W 6 13953 P 03/10-01 97 63 21 82 W 7 1 2272 W 5 9197 P 03/10-02 97 63 21 81 W 7 7 2 1 SW 9 1874 NW 2 4442 P 03/10-03 97 63 20 77 W 7 1 2037 NW 3 7165 P 03/10-04 97 63 20 70 NW 7 1 2200 NW 5 9888 P 03/10-05 100 50 21 66 W 6 6 2 1 W 3 2362 NW 6 12611 P 03/10-06 100 50 21 65 W 6 1 3477 NW 9 28235 P 03/10-07 100 50 21 65 W 6 1 4085 NW 9 34092 P 03/10-08 100 50 23 62 NW 6 6 2 1 NW 3 4693 NW 10 39949 P 03/10-09 100 50 25 58 NW 6 1 4911 NW 10 42933 F 03/10-10 100 50 27 55 NW 5 1 5130 NW 10 45917 F 03/10-11 100 50 29 53 NW 5 5 2 1 W 6 5348 NW 10 48900 F 03/10-12 100 50 30 52 NW 5 1 5411 NW 12 51551 F 03/10-13 100 50 31 51 NW 5 1 5475 NW 12 54202 F 03/10-14 100 50 31 51 NW 5 5 2 1 W 8 5538 NW 12 56853 F 03/10-15 100 50 31 50 NW 5 1 5479 NW 13 59050 F 03/10-16 100 50 30 51 NW 5 1 5419 NW 13 61248 G 03/10-17 100 50 28 54 NW 5 5 2 1 W 9 5360 NW 14 63446 G 03/10-18 100 50 26 55 NW 6 1 5115 NW 14 60969 G 03/10-19 100 50 24 57 NW 6 1 4869 NW 14 58491 F 03/10-20 100 50 22 60 NW 6 6 2 1 NW10 4624 NW 14 56014 F 03/10-21 100 50 20 62 NW 7 1 4154 NW 15 53735 F 03/10-22 93 50 19 62 NW 8 1 3685 NW 16 51456 F 03/10-23 93 50 18 63 NW 8 8 2 1 N13 3216 NW 17 49177 F 03/11-00 93 50 17 66 NW 8 1 2999 NW 20 49096 F 03/11-01 93 50 16 69 NW 8 1 2782 NW 21 49016 F 03/11-02 93 50 15 71 NW 9 9 2 1 N16 2565 NW 22 48935 F 03/11-03 93 50 15 73 NW 9 1 2759 NW 24 57834 F 03/11-04 93 50 15 72 NW 10 1 2954 NW 25 66734 G 03/11-05 93 20 15 71 NW 12 12 2 1 N25 3149 NW 28 75634 G 03/11-06 93 20 16 67 NW 12 1 3662 NW 29 92061 G 03/11-07 100 20 17 61 NW 13 1 4176 N 30 108489 V 03/11-08 100 20 20 54 NW 13 13 2 1 N18 4689 N 31 124916 V 03/11-09 100 20 23 51 NW 14 1 4923 N 29 124739 V 03/11-10 100 20 26 50 NW 14 1 5158 N 28 124561 V 03/11-11 100 20 28 49 NW 14 14 2 1 N16 5392 N 26 124384 V 03/11-12 100 20 30 47 NW 14 1 5607 N 25 122391 V 03/11-13 100 20 31 45 NW 14 1 5822 N 24 120398 V 03/11-14 100 20 32 43 NW 14 14 2 1 N17 6037 N 23 118404 V 03/11-15 100 20 32 43 NW 14 1 5758 N 23 116679 V 03/11-16 100 20 30 43 NW 14 1 5480 N 24 114954 V 03/11-17 55 0 28 43 NW 13 13 2 1 N21 5201 NW 25 113228 V 03/11-18 55 0 26 45 NW 13 1 4654 NW 26 105919 V 03/11-19 55 0 24 49 NW 13 1 4108 NW 28 98610 G 03/11-20 55 0 21 54 NW 13 13 2 1 N31 3561 NW 30 91302 G 03/11-21 55 0 19 57 NW 13 1 3023 NW 30 78262 G 03/11-22 55 0 18 58 NW 13 1 2485 NW 30 65223 G 03/11-23 55 0 17 60 NW 13 13 2 1 N31 1947 NW 31 52183 F 03/12-00 55 0 15 62 W 13 1 1649 NW 30 43675 F 03/12-01 55 0 15 62 W 13 1 1350 NW 30 35167 P 03/12-02 55 0 14 64 W 13 13 2 1 N26 1052 NW 29 26659 P 03/12-03 55 0 14 64 W 13 1 1005 NW 29 25165 P 03/12-04 55 0 14 63 W 13 1 957 NW 29 23671 P 03/12-05 33 0 14 62 W 12 12 2 1 N23 910 NW 28 22177 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...ROMO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100309.DEERM.01/BOU