FNUS72 KMHX 091215
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MATTAMUSKEET PILE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
715 AM EST TUE MAR 9 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL TRANSITION OFFSHORE LATER
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH
ON THURSDAY AND MOVES NORTH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT.
BROAD LOW PRESSURE WILL IMPACT THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY THEN GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS...UNFAVORABLE.
REMARKS...TYPE I-D. MAX WIND SW 15 KT AT 1500 FEET AGL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............3      6      8      15
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................55     61     66     64
                    MIN HUMIDITY........49     42     38     44
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 2   SE 2   S 4    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....              7
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............23     27     37     46     50     54
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................61     57     53     51     50     48
                    MIN HUMIDITY........52     63     74     80     84     92
20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 7    S 6    S 5    S 3    S 5    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....                     5
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............59     61     62     64     65     67
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................48     51     61     65     68     66
                    MIN HUMIDITY........94     84     58     51     46     51
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   S 8    S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....                     10     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100309.MATTA.01/MHX