FNUS74 KLZK 101348 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR LIBERTY LINE PREP 3...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 745 AM CST WED MAR 10 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL CAUSE BREEZY SOUTH WINDS ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BE LIGHTER THAN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL ALSO BE HIGHER ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST OF ARKANSAS. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 40 T0 50 PERCENT RANGE...WITH LOWEST RH VALUES ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A DRYLINE IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND MOVE EAST INTO ARKANSAS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL...HIGH WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THIS DRYLINE WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT...WITH BREEZY WEST WINDS USHERING IN DRIER AIR FOR THURSDAY. THE DRIER AIR COMBINED WITH BREEZY WEST WINDS WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE HAZARD ACROSS ARKANSAS FOR THURSDAY. HOWEVER...ANY RAINFALL FROM STORMS THIS EVENING WILL TEND TO DECREASE THAT ELEVATED FIRE HAZARD. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............65 69 71 73 74 74 72 RH..............64 62 59 57 55 56 58 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 7 7 7 7 6 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)...4700 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 23 25 29 30 31 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 40 40 40 40 40 40 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 23 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT....... STABILITY CLASS.....4. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............70 61 56 52 50 46 RH..............60 76 79 79 81 87 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW SW SW SW W EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 5 5 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.8 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD.31 29 25 21 18 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 30 30 30 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....62. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 16 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............45 50 58 61 RH..............87 73 54 43 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 8 8 MIX HGT (FT).... 4500 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...TODD HOOPES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100310.LIBER.01/LZK