FNUS74 KOUN 101254
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK KETTLE UNIT 37...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
654 AM CST WED MAR 10 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON MARCH 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT THE CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR FREDERICK TO
NEAR PURCELL WILL LIFT NORTH TODAY... BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH
OF THE BURN AREA. WITH THE FRONT NEARBY TO THE SOUTH AND THE APPROACH OF
A STORM SYSTEM TODAY... WINDS COULD BECOME SOMEWHAT VARIABLE ALTHOUGH A
NORTH COMPONENT TO THE WIND SHOULD PERSIST. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
THAT THE FRONT MAY LIFT NORTH TO THE BURN SITE... SO IT IS ADVISED
TO MONITOR THE WINDS AT THE CHEYENNE MESONET OR KEEP IN TOUCH WITH THE
NWS. NORTHWEST WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON TO 15 TO
20 MPH AS THE STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL ALSO
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE APPROACH OF THE STORM SYSTEM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 13
                    TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............36     40     48     52     53     53
RH..............96     85     65     54     50     54
20 FT WIND......N 11   NE 12  NE 10  N 9    W 16   NW 17
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     15     15     25     30
MIX HGT (FT)....600    1500   3500   4500   3700   2600
MIX HGT (M).....180    460    1070   1370   1130   790
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16   NE 22  NE 13  NE 12  NW 21  NW 25
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 7    NE 10  NE 6   NE 5   NW 9   NW 11

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 14
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...DS
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN HAJNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100310.BLACK.01/OUN