FNUS75 KBOU 110457 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER MOUNTAIN PILES...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 956 PM MST WED MAR 10 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA WILL BRING VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TO THE AREA THURSDAY. THERE IS JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SNOW SHOWER WITH LINGERING INSTABILITY BEHIND THE UPPER LOW IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. ANOTHER DAY OF VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND STILL SUFFICIENT FLOW ALOFT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL TURN SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER ON FRIDAY AS WELL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....33. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 9-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....15. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....40. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5400-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER MOUNTAIN PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/11-04 98 52 15 83 NW 10 1 2845 NW 29 70098 G 03/11-05 72 20 14 86 NW 10 16 2 1 N30 2173 NW 29 54010 F 03/11-06 72 20 16 79 NW 10 1 2966 NW 30 78470 G 03/11-07 72 20 18 70 NW 10 1 3758 N 31 102930 V 03/11-08 72 20 21 63 NW 12 17 2 1 N28 4551 N 32 127389 V 03/11-09 72 20 24 57 NW 13 1 4956 N 31 132672 V 03/11-10 72 20 27 53 NW 14 1 5362 N 30 137955 V 03/11-11 53 10 29 50 NW 14 23 2 1 N30 5768 N 29 143238 V 03/11-12 53 10 31 48 NW 14 1 5731 NW 29 141567 V 03/11-13 53 10 31 46 NW 14 1 5695 NW 29 139896 V 03/11-14 53 10 31 46 NW 15 23 2 1 N26 5659 NW 28 138226 V 03/11-15 53 10 31 46 NW 15 1 5458 NW 29 134228 V 03/11-16 53 10 31 46 NW 15 1 5257 NW 29 130231 V 03/11-17 65 0 28 50 NW 16 24 2 1 N21 5056 NW 29 126233 V 03/11-18 65 0 27 45 W 17 1 4431 NW 23 90170 G 03/11-19 65 0 24 48 W 16 1 3617 NW 23 73396 G 03/11-20 65 0 22 51 W 16 25 2 1 N30 2803 NW 23 56622 F 03/11-21 65 0 20 54 W 16 1 2472 NW 23 49471 F 03/11-22 65 0 19 55 W 15 1 2141 NW 23 42319 F 03/11-23 65 0 18 55 W 15 24 2 1 N29 1809 W 22 35168 P 03/12-00 65 0 17 57 W 15 1 1643 W 22 31606 P 03/12-01 65 0 17 57 W 15 1 1478 W 22 28044 P 03/12-02 65 0 16 58 W 15 24 3 1 N32 1312 W 22 24483 P 03/12-03 65 0 16 58 W 15 1 1272 W 22 23561 P 03/12-04 65 0 16 57 W 16 1 1233 W 21 22640 P 03/12-05 31 0 16 57 W 16 25 4 1 N49 1193 W 21 21718 P 03/12-06 31 0 17 57 W 16 1 1422 NW 23 28352 P 03/12-07 31 0 20 51 W 16 1 1651 NW 24 34985 P 03/12-08 31 0 24 45 W 15 24 4 1 N58 1880 NW 25 41619 F 03/12-09 31 0 29 39 W 14 1 3039 NW 26 72697 G 03/12-10 31 0 33 35 W 14 1 4197 N 28 103775 V 03/12-11 31 0 37 32 W 13 13 3 1 N53 5356 N 29 134853 V 03/12-12 31 0 40 29 W 12 1 5451 N 28 129452 V 03/12-13 31 0 40 29 W 12 1 5547 N 25 124050 V 03/12-14 31 0 40 28 W 10 10 3 1 N45 5643 N 24 118649 V 03/12-15 31 0 40 28 W 9 1 5550 N 23 111891 V 03/12-16 31 0 40 27 W 8 1 5457 N 22 105134 V 03/12-17 11 0 39 27 W 8 8 3 1 N37 5365 N 21 98377 G 03/12-18 11 0 37 29 W 8 1 4382 N 18 74327 G 03/12-19 11 0 34 33 W 9 1 3398 NW 15 50277 F 03/12-20 11 0 30 38 W 10 10 3 1 N30 2415 NW 13 26227 P 03/12-21 11 0 28 40 W 10 1 1776 NW 10 18529 P 03/12-22 11 0 26 41 W 10 1 1136 NW 9 10831 P 03/12-23 11 0 25 42 W 10 10 3 1 N23 497 W 7 3134 P 03/13-00 11 0 24 44 W 10 1 412 W 8 2725 P 03/13-01 11 0 23 45 W 9 1 327 W 8 2317 P 03/13-02 11 0 22 46 W 9 9 3 1 NW20 242 W 9 1908 P 03/13-03 11 0 22 46 W 9 1 240 W 9 1908 P 03/13-04 11 0 22 46 W 9 1 237 W 9 1907 P 03/13-05 25 0 22 46 W 9 9 3 1 NW23 235 W 9 1907 P 03/13-06 25 0 23 46 W 9 1 464 W 9 3785 P 03/13-07 25 0 25 44 W 8 1 693 W 9 5662 P 03/13-08 25 0 28 40 W 7 7 3 1 NW18 922 W 9 7540 P 03/13-09 25 0 32 36 W 6 1 2383 W 10 23073 P 03/13-10 25 0 36 32 SW 5 1 3843 W 12 38607 P 03/13-11 25 0 39 29 S 3 3 3 1 NW12 5304 W 12 54140 F 03/13-12 25 0 42 27 S 3 1 5388 W 12 54567 F 03/13-13 25 0 43 26 S 3 1 5472 W 12 54994 F 03/13-14 25 0 43 26 S 3 3 2 1 W10 5556 W 12 55422 F 03/13-15 25 0 43 26 S 3 1 5538 W 12 53187 F 03/13-16 25 0 43 26 S 2 1 5521 W 10 50953 F 03/13-17 65 10 40 31 S 2 2 2 1 SW 9 5503 W 10 48718 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROMO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100311.DEERM.01/BOU