FNUS74 KOUN 161401
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK KETTLE UNIT 91...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
901 AM CDT TUE MAR 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN THIS MORNING... ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW MOVING
THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS... WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE BURN AREA.
MEANWHILE... AN EXTENSIVE DECK OF LOW CLOUDS... LOCATED ABOUT 30
MILES EAST OF THE SITE... IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY EAST OF THE
AREA... ALTHOUGH A LOW CHANCE REMAINS THEY COULD ROLL IN FOR A
BRIEF PERIOD THIS MORNING. NORTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A STRONG UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT THE LACK OF MOISTURE WILL LIKELY
PRECLUDE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     47     52     57     56     50
RH..............79     68     61     51     45     56
20 FT WIND......N 10   N 10   N 10   N 8    N 8    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4700   6100   6500   6600   4200
MIX HGT (M).....760    1430   1860   1980   2010   1280
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16   N 14   N 13   N 13   N 13   N 9
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 7    N 6    N 6    N 6    N 6    N 4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 16
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SOHL
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN HAJNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100316.BLACK.01/OUN