FNUS72 KTAE 160940
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB JACKSON GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
540 AM EDT TUE MAR 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 CDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY KEEPING
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LOW. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THAN RECENT
DAYS AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. BY WEDNESDAY...
THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL APPROACH THE
AREA. ALTHOUGH WE WILL MAINTAIN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW...THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT ACROSS OUR REGION TO
GENERATE SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL KEEP RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THURSDAY. WE WILL DRY OUT
ONCE AGAIN ON FRIDAY WITH RED FLAG CRITERIA POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. THE
BIG BEND ZONES MAY SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT WILL RETURN RAIN TO THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3300
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 38.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     51     57     61     64     63
RH..............76     60     48     40     37     42
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 7    N 8    N 9    N 9    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     10
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   N 14   N 11   N 8    N 8    NW 10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800-900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 10.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 25.

$$
FORECASTER...WOOL
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100316.JACKS.01/TAE