FNUS72 KTAE 161040
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK PIT...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
640 AM EDT TUE MAR 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY KEEPING
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LOW. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THAN RECENT
DAYS AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. BY WEDNESDAY...
THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL APPROACH THE
AREA. ALTHOUGH WE WILL MAINTAIN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW...THE UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT ACROSS OUR REGION TO
GENERATE SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL KEEP RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THURSDAY. WE WILL DRY OUT
ONCE AGAIN ON FRIDAY WITH RED FLAG CRITERIA POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. THE
BIG BEND ZONES MAY SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT WILL RETURN RAIN TO THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2900
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX 35.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     54     61     62     64     62
RH..............79     61     49     45     42     51
20 FT WIND......N 5    NW 6   NW 7   NW 7   NW 7   W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MIN 5.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION..........MAX 22.

$$
FORECASTER...WOOL/DUGGAN
REQUESTED BY...VIC DOIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100316.ROCKP.01/TAE