FNUS75 KGJT 180314
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHIMNEY ROCK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
914 PM MDT WED MAR 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1645 MDT ON MARCH 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESS SHIFTS EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AS ANOTHER STORM
DIGS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDINESS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CLOUDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND LOWER
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATE. A COLD FRONT
PASSES THROUGH THE BURN SITE FRIDAY MORNING...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

.TODAY (THURSDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN BECOMING GOOD BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
                    INCREASING TO 15 MPH BY 1300.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN BECOMING GOOD BY 1200...EXCEPT
                    EXCELLENT NEAR SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5800 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST WINDS
                    INCREASING TO 15 MPH BY 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...PAGOSA RANGER DISTRICT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100317.CHIMN.01/GJT