FNUS72 KMHX 171319
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 8 1 2 PEA ISLAND NORTH...USFWS ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
919 AM EDT WED MAR 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TODAY. WEAK LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY THEN MOVES WELL OFFSHORE ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA LATE IN THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST TO EAST
                    15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............13     23     26     32
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................53     56     58     57
                    MIN HUMIDITY........52     42     44     47
20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 15   NE 16  ENE 15  ENE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     20     17
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............35     39     44     51     57     58
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................55     52     50     48     47     46
                    MIN HUMIDITY........51     61     68     77     83     86
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 12  NE 10  NE 12  NE 13  NE 15  NE 16
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     20     20
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1800-2300 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 22
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............61     62     61     60     59     55
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................45     45     50     55     58     58
                    MIN HUMIDITY........89     89     74     64     59     57
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 17  NE 18  NE 20  NE 22  NE 22  NE 21
20 FT WIND GUST.....25     25     25     30     30     25
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      4      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100317.812PE.04/MHX