FNUS71 KCTP 180031 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR RG 8 9...PA NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 831 PM EDT WED MAR 17 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY AND UNSEASONABLY MILD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. LOW LEVEL MIXING OF A RATHER DRY AIR MASS WILL AFFORD MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. FINE FUELS ARE DRYING OUT QUICKLY...AND THE LATEST DATA SHOWS 10-HR MOISTURE BELOW 10 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE STATE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............16 22 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TEMP................55 60 64 MIN HUMIDITY........41 33 30 WIND (20 FT)........W 7 W 8 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 9 NW 8 NW 10 LAL.................1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 6 6 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............30 27 28 28 28 28 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................60 54 51 48 46 43 MIN HUMIDITY........38 47 53 59 65 72 WIND (20 FT)........W 7 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 3 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 TRANSPORT WINDS.....W 9 W 5 W 5 W 5 NW 5 NW 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 6 6 6 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............29 29 29 29 28 28 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................41 42 50 57 62 66 MIN HUMIDITY........80 76 61 49 44 39 WIND (20 FT)........W 3 W 3 W 6 W 8 W 9 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 10 TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 3 NW 3 NW 7 W 10 W 13 W 13 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DEVOIR REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100318.RG89_.01/CTP