FNUS71 KOKX 170917 FWSOKX SPOT FORECAST FOR MASHOMACK PRESERVE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 517 AM EDT WED MAR 17 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS WILL PRECEDE AND FOLLOW THE IGNITION WITH RH VALUES OF 30 TO 35 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON. THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COLD WATERS COULD PRODUCE MIXED HEIGHTS A BIT LOWER THAN FORECAST...BUT AT THIS TIME THE DRY AIRMASS SUPPORTS A FAIRLY DEEP MIXED LAYER ON THURSDAY. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3600-5100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 23 MPH. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........7 9 11 14 16 18 21 22 24 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 43 48 52 53 54 54 54 54 53 RH..............76 67 54 46 44 41 41 41 41 43 20 FT WIND DIR..280 280 280 290 280 270 270 260 250 240 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.7 4.1 4.6 5.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.290 290 290 290 280 270 270 270 270 270 TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 21 21 20 20 20 21 22 23 $$ FORECASTER...DW REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL BATCHER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100318.MASHO.01/OKX