FNUS72 KJAX 191317
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARY STATE FOREST...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
917 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION WITH SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIR IN PLACE. EXPECT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
TO BOTTOM OUT AROUND 28 PERCENT WITH RH VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT
FOR AROUND 4 HOURS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH.

SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER REGION WITH SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER
NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO POSSIBLE EXTENDED PERIODS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO NEAR 6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....75.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........4      18     22     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     67     72     73
RH..............63     36     29     30
20 FT WIND......NW 6   NW 7   NW 8   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   3700   6600   6600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10  N 12   N 10   N 10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........25     17     17     10     9      9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     63     58     55     52     51
RH..............34     46     56     63     71     75
20 FT WIND......N 2    E 2    S 1    SW 1   SW 1   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....6400   1100   1100   700    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8   E 6    E 6    SE 3   S 3    S 3
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...DEVON MCFALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100319.CARYS.01/JAX