FNUS73 KPAH 190052 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMPBELL PT BEAVER POND...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 752 PM CDT THU MAR 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THIS A PROVISIONAL SPOT FORECAST. LATER DATA AND AN ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED PRIOR TO THE IGNITION TIME OF THIS FORECAST. AN UPDATE TO THIS SPOT FORECAST MAY BE REQUIRED. SHOULD THE PRESCRIBED BURN CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY...THE PERIOD FROM 130 PM CDT THROUGH 430 PM CDT MAY PRODUCE WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY CONDITIONS CLOSE TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS CONTINGENT ON FUEL CONDITIONS. MIXING HEIGHTS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL FALL BELOW THE 1700 FOOT AGL MINIMUMS BY 1 AM CDT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 60 64 67 69 69 69 67 RH..............45 41 35 30 26 25 26 30 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 4.7 5.3 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.6 6.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 20 20 21 22 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 31 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............65 61 58 56 55 53 52 50 49 47 47 46 RH..............34 39 44 45 47 50 52 63 66 76 74 76 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...6.3 5.7 4.9 3.9 2.9 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.25 26 28 29 30 30 31 30 30 29 28 26 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE MORNING FINALLY SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 46 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4200 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............46 47 50 52 54 56 57 58 59 60 59 58 RH..............79 76 71 66 61 57 53 49 45 42 42 42 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S SW W NW N NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW N TRANSP WIND SPD.25 24 24 23 23 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...ERIN YEOMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100319.CAMPB.01/PAH