FNUS73 KPAH 191414 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMRY FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 914 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0757 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH WILL RESULT IN A RATHER WARM DAY. A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND SLOW IT DOWN...AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND GAINS STRENGTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. RAIN WILL BE LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM PASSES BY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........41 AT INCIDENT...MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT AT INCIDENT...MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT INCIDENT...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH GUSTS 15 MPH. CWR.................2 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT INCIDENT...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT INCIDENT...OTHERWISE 300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 41 48 53 58 62 65 68 69 70 70 68 RH..............79 79 65 59 49 43 37 33 32 31 31 33 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.0 2.0 3.1 4.2 5.2 5.8 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.5 6.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 10 10 10 12 13 14 15 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 59 55 53 51 49 RH..............40 49 59 61 66 68 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5300 1700 BLW100 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 18 SW 20 SW 21 SW 22 S 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................11 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5300-7200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5800-7300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 56 64 67 RH..............71 64 48 43 20 FT WIND......S 4G5 S 5G10 S 6G10 S 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3900 7200 6500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 24 S 25 S 24 CWR.............0 0 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...TIM VETTER TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100319.CAMRY.01/PAH