FNUS73 KPAH 191123 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR GIBBONS CREEK BARRENS...IDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 623 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0640 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH WILL RESULT IN A RATHER WARM DAY. A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND SLOW IT DOWN...AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND GAINS STRENGTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. RAIN WILL BE LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM PASSES BY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................1 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 42 48 54 58 62 65 67 69 70 69 68 RH..............79 79 68 59 51 44 38 36 33 33 35 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 1.0 1.9 2.8 3.8 4.6 5.3 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.1 5.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 17 18 20 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....46. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 58 55 53 50 48 RH..............43 51 57 61 66 71 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 S 4 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5200 1800 BLW100 400 100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 23 SW 24 SW 24 SW 24 SW 23 S 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....66. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. CWR.................15 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4400-6100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............47 55 62 65 RH..............74 61 46 40 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3400 6100 5100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 24 S 25 S 24 CWR.............10 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH REQUESTED BY...BOB LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100319.GIBBO.01/PAH