FNUS73 KPAH 191231 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH PRAIRIE...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 731 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH WILL RESULT IN A RATHER WARM DAY. A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND SLOW IT DOWN...AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND GAINS STRENGTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. RAIN WILL BE LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM PASSES BY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................2 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 57 61 64 66 68 69 68 67 RH..............61 53 44 38 36 33 32 34 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.7 4.5 5.1 5.5 5.7 5.9 6.0 5.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 16 17 18 20 22 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....46. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............63 58 54 52 49 48 RH..............43 53 64 66 74 74 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 S 4 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5200 1800 BLW100 400 100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 25 SW 25 SW 25 SW 25 SW 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................6 PERCENT INCREASING TO 22 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4300-5400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2200-3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 26 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............47 53 59 62 RH..............79 69 55 48 20 FT WIND......SW 3G5 S 5 S 6G10 S 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 3200 5400 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 25 S 26 S 24 CWR.............10 10 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100319.NORTH.01/PAH