FNUS73 KPAH 191219 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR SILO HOLLOW...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 719 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION TODAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH WILL RESULT IN A RATHER WARM DAY. A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND SLOW IT DOWN...AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND GAINS STRENGTH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. RAIN WILL BE LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM PASSES BY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................2 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 61 64 66 68 68 68 67 RH..............44 39 34 32 28 28 28 30 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.7 5.3 5.7 5.8 6.1 6.3 6.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 18 18 20 21 21 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................8 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 56 53 51 47 45 RH..............36 51 61 63 74 76 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5500 2000 200 600 500 400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 24 SW 25 SW 25 S 24 S 23 CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................23 PERCENT INCREASING TO 46 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............45 50 55 57 RH..............79 71 57 51 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6G10 S 6G10 SE 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 400 600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 26 S 29 S 23 CWR.............20 20 50 50 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...MIKE NORRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100319.SILOH.02/PAH