FNUS73 KPAH 181936 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR VICTORY RX...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 236 PM CDT THU MAR 18 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AND RESULT IN DRY AND MILD WEATHER FRIDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY PERCENTAGES FRIDAY SHOULD BE IN THE 20S. FRIDAY WINDS WILL TURN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. GUSTS 10 TO 20 MPH CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 56 60 63 65 67 68 67 66 RH..............52 43 39 34 30 28 27 28 33 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 20 20 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.5 6.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 18 18 18 20 21 22 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............63 57 54 52 48 47 RH..............38 47 50 54 74 79 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 4 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....6200 4800 2900 1400 800 800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 26 SW 29 SW 30 SW 29 SW 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 43 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 29 MPH BECOMING EAST 13 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 52 57 59 RH..............81 69 55 46 20 FT WIND......SE 2G5 S 5G10 SW 6G10 S 6 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 3200 4600 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 26 SW 29 SW 29 SE 18 CWR.............0 0 40 40 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...KEITH P KELLEY FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100319.VICTO.01/PAH