FNUS73 KSGF 191149 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE HOLE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 649 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0650 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CURRENT CONDITIONS AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD DROP TO VALUES LOWER THAN YESTERDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY LOWER DEWPOINTS OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 18 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 44 52 59 63 67 RH..............72 69 57 45 38 34 20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 S 5 S 6 S 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 500 2600 4900 6200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 9 SW 12 SW 16 SW 18 S 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 45. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 72 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP............64 59 55 53 51 49 RH..............38 47 57 62 68 72 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 3 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5300 3800 2400 1000 400 400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 21 S 21 S 20 S 17 S 16 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 55. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. WIND SHIFT..........NORTH LATE MORNING. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN RAIN TEMP............48 47 49 52 54 55 RH..............74 77 70 62 56 52 20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 4 S 5 S 6 SW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 800 1600 2400 2700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 14 S 16 S 17 SW 16 W 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 70 70 70 80 80 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...TERRY REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100319.BLUEH.01/SGF