FNUS72 KTAE 191003
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHIRED ISLAND...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
603 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING BUT WILL LIKELY NOT IMPACT IMMEDIATE COAST...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING BUT WILL LIKELY NOT IMPACT IMMEDIATE COAST...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE RESPONSIBLE FOR YESTERDAYS
CLOUDS HAVE MOVED FURTHER OFFSHORE. IN ITS WAKE...DRY AIR WITH
CLEARING SKIES WILL BRIEFLY FILTER INTO THE AREA TODAY AND
SATURDAY...INCREASING THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT. FOR DIXIE COUNTY...
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LATER TODAY DUE TO LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND A WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT ON SATURDAY DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH
VERY HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS LEADING TO EQUALLY HIGH TRANSPORT
WINDS AND DISPERSIONS. HOWEVER...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RIGHT ALONG
THE COAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 35.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     61     63     64     63     61
RH..............82     65     58     55     58     66
20 FT WIND......NW 6   NW 6   W 7    W 9    W 10   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE.
SMOKE DISPERISON....MIN 4.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7
                    TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 70.

$$
FORECASTER...BLOCK
REQUESTED BY...VIC DOIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100319.SHIRE.01/TAE