FNUS73 KTOP 191257
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR PLUMB CREEK...US FISH/WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
757 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE BURN AREA LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. AS IT APPROACHES...WINDS WILL BEGIN A SOUTHERLY
DIRECTION THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST BEFORE BECOMING NORTH TO
NORTHWEST AROUND 3PM. RAIN SHOWERS WILL COME IN WITH THE
FRONT...FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF SLEET CHANGING OVER TO SNOW AFTER
SUNSET. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE
OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
                    TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 14 TO
                    19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH TOWARD
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /10400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /71000 KNOT-FT/.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN AND SLEET IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
                    NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 2.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN...EXCELLENT /72400 KNOT-FT/.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 90
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 2.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...EXCELLENT /90100 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...CRAVEN
REQUESTED BY...JASON PANKRATZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100319.PLUMB.01/TOP