FNUS74 KTSA 191250 FWSTSA FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WARDVILLE 1...CHOCTAW NATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 750 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY THROUGH TODAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO INTO THE MID 30 PERCENT WITH GOOD RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS SATURDAY MORNING SHIFTING WINDS AND BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT...WITH RAIN AND SLEET LIKELY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............44 48 53 57 61 65 68 70 71 71 DEWPT...........37 39 40 41 42 43 43 43 43 44 RH..............78 71 62 54 48 45 41 38 37 37 20FT WIND DIR...SE S S S S S S S S S 20FT SPD (MPH)..3 4 5 6 6 8 9 9 9 8 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 10 10 15 20 30 30 35 30 30 CLOUDS (%)......24 26 29 32 34 37 42 47 52 56 WEATHER COV.....- - - - - - - - - - WEATHER TYPE....- - - - - - - - - - MIXHGT/100(FT)..011 021 030 039 046 055 063 067 067 060 TR WIND DIR.....SE S S S S S S S S S TR WIND SPD(MPH)9 15 20 23 26 28 29 28 26 23 STABILITY.......D D C C B C C C C C 1700FT MIX T (F)63 48 53 57 61 65 68 70 71 71 VENT/1000(M 3/S)001 004 008 012 016 021 025 026 024 019 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING EAST 1 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 36 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............42 42 41 41 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 DEWPT...........41 40 39 37 36 34 33 32 32 31 31 30 RH..............96 94 100 94 89 85 81 78 76 74 73 70 20FT WIND DIR...NW N N N NW N N N N NW NW NW 20FT SPD (MPH)..6 7 9 10 12 13 13 14 13 13 12 12 20FT GUST(MPH)..30 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 CLOUDS (%)......97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN MIXHGT/100(FT)..000 000 003 007 011 014 018 022 025 027 027 024 TR WIND DIR.....N N N N N N N N N N N N TR WIND SPD(MPH)8 12 16 22 26 31 33 36 36 36 35 32 STABILITY.......F F D D D D C C C C C D 1700FT MIX T (F)55 51 49 47 45 44 39 39 39 39 39 39 VENT/1000(M 3/S)000 000 001 002 004 006 008 011 012 013 013 010 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .MONDAY... WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .TUESDAY... WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...J.MCGAVOCK REQUESTED BY...TOM LOWRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100319.WARDV.01/TSA