FNUS73 KPAH 201313 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CRETACEOUS HILLS...IDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 813 AM CDT SAT MAR 20 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION TODAY. IN ADDITION...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL FORM ALONG THIS FRONT...ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEY REGIONS. THE EFFECT OF THIS WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION. CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BEGIN AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. GREATER CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. IT WILL BE A RAINY SUNDAY FOR THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE REGION...AS A WIDESPREAD AREA OF RAIN ROTATES NORTH INTO THE AREA. THERE MAY EVEN BE A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT DECREASE IN COVERAGE BY MONDAY. BY MONDAY NIGHT...DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AND LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. OUR NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN APPEARS TO BE TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-7000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 59 61 64 65 66 67 67 65 RH..............59 55 53 50 48 48 47 47 50 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 4.9 6.0 6.8 7.0 6.9 6.6 6.1 5.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 17 16 16 16 16 16 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CWR.................11 PERCENT INCREASING TO 32 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 59 56 54 51 50 RH..............54 62 69 71 80 83 20 FT WIND......S 3 SE 3 E 3 E 3 E 4 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4800 3400 1800 600 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 16 S 18 S 21 S 17 S 15 CWR.............10 10 10 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 2 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57. MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................90 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....OCNL OCNL OCNL OCNL WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............49 53 55 56 RH..............89 80 77 74 20 FT WIND......NE 7G15 NE 10G20 E 8G15 E 8G20 MIX HGT (FT)....500 1700 2600 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 E 23 E 26 E 30 CWR.............90 90 90 90 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...SPODEN REQUESTED BY...BOB LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100320.CRETA.03/PAH