FNUS72 KMHX 211100 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR OCEAN TRACT...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 700 AM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... COOLER TEMPS NEAR COAST DUE TO SOUTHERLY WINDS OFF COOL WATER WILL RESULT IN LOWER MIXING HEIGHT THAN IN ROUTINE PLANNING FORECAST. INVERSION BURNOFF TEMP 62. HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE WILL MOVE EAST TODAY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN MOVE ACROSS NORTH OF THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR MID WEEK... THEN ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN AT THE END OF THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO 15 TO 22 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............21 30 50 57 61 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................53 61 65 68 67 MIN HUMIDITY........83 75 65 61 68 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 5 SE 7 S 9 S 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............65 75 77 82 93 91 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................66 64 62 61 60 60 MIN HUMIDITY........70 78 84 90 93 93 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 10 SE 9 SE 10 SE 12 SE 14 S 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 20 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-3500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 32 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 17 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............93 97 93 85 66 53 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP................59 59 62 66 67 67 MIN HUMIDITY........96 96 81 63 52 47 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 16 S 16 S 15 S 14 SW 14 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 25 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100321.OCEAN.01/MHX