FNUS76 KMFR 230503
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG GIBSON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1003 PM PDT MON MAR 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND A THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE COAST
WILL PRODUCE A DRIER AIR MASS TUESDAY WITH A MORNING INVERSION BOTH
TUESDAY MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING. IT MAY TAKE UNTIL AROUND
11 AM FOR THE INVERSION TO BREAK TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
WEAKEN WEDNESDAY WITH MOISTURE AND SOUTH WINDS INCREASING AHEAD OF A
MODERATELY STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
FREQUENT SHOWERS THURSDAY.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58 RIDGE TOP TO 62 BASE.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT BASE TO 29 PERCENT RIDGE TOP.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....UPSLOPE WIND 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH THEN NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35 BASE TO 42 RIDGE TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT RIDGE TOP TO 68 PERCENT BASE.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....UPSLOPE WIND 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 0 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN CLOUDY WITH RAIN DEVELOPING
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 RIDGE TOP TO 64 BASE.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT BASE TO 35 PERCENT RIDGE TOP.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WIND 1 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 31 TO 36. HIGHS 45 TO 55. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF MORNING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 33 TO 38. HIGHS 45 TO 55. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 35 TO 40. HIGHS 50 TO 60. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100323.LONGG.01/MFR