FNUS74 KOUN 231413
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAST HAWK...BIA-SPRO-CONCO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
913 AM CDT TUE MAR 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE TROUGH IN FAR NORTHWEST OK AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS MAY SAG A
LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE RETURNING BACK
TO THE NORTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT... INITIAL SURFACE WINDS
FROM THE SOUTH COULD BECOME VARIABLE IN DIRECTION FROM LATE THIS
MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. THE WINDS SHOULD RETURN BACK TO
THE SOUTH BY LATE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE... WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TODAY ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
SURFACE MOISTURE. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME CONCERN FOR INCREASED
WILDFIRE POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON DURING TIMES THAT WINDS ARE
GUSTY. A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE IN THE DAY CONTINUING INTO
THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     66     66     61     53     49
RH..............37     36     37     49     64     74
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 10   S 10   SE 8   E 7    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   3100   3900   2800   300    BLW100
MIX HGT (M).....670    940    1190   850    90     BLW10M
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8    S 9    S 12   SE 9   NE 5   N 5
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4    S 4    S 5    SE 4   NE 2   N 2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 TO 9
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    14 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 22 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SOHL
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN LILLIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100323.ROAST.02/OUN