FNUS73 KPAH 240131 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL BUZZARD RX...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 831 PM CDT TUE MAR 23 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ONCE THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE HEARTLAND FRIDAY...DRY WEATHER WILL HOLD ACROSS THE AREA BRIEFLY THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE HEARTLAND DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND. AFTER THAT TIME... DRY AND WARMER WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300-6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............55 58 62 65 67 68 69 69 67 RH..............64 59 52 46 43 42 35 30 45 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 3.24.9 6.3 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.5 6.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.0 6 13 18 20 20 20 23 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 5 5 4 4 5 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....51. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 81 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 0 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 22 TO 31 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............66 61 58 56 54 52 RH..............48 60 67 72 77 83 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....6000 2800 800 1200 1800 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 8 S 0 S 0 S 22 S 31 CWR.............0 0 0 80 80 80 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................80 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 56 59 61 RH..............83 80 80 70 20 FT WIND......SE 5G10 S 8G20 SW 11G20 W 12G20 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 2100 2900 6300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 23 SW 24 W 16 CWR.............80 80 80 80 HAINES INDEX....3 2 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...BOBBY BLOODWORTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100324.MILLB.01/PAH