FNUS73 KPAH 241330 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR NEVILLE CREEK...USFS LBL NAT REC AREA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 830 AM CDT WED MAR 24 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0845 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION TODAY. THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BRING AN INCREASE IN DEW POINTS TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY...GENERALLY DROPPING TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STARTING TONIGHT AND WORKING EAST ON THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF DRY PERIOD FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE AREA. MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. DRY AND WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 51 55 59 62 66 68 69 70 70 68 RH..............74 63 59 53 50 45 43 42 42 42 45 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 1.8 2.9 4.2 5.4 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.6 6.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.6 10 14 15 16 16 17 17 18 20 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 0 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 62 59 57 55 53 RH..............49 60 67 75 74 77 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....7100 7300 5000 1300 800 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 6 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................69 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............53 58 62 64 RH..............77 69 67 67 20 FT WIND......S 6G15 S 9G20 S 10G20 S 8G20 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1600 2800 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 24 S 35 S 30 CWR.............70 70 70 70 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...JAMIE THWEATT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100324.NEVIL.01/PAH