FNUS73 KPAH 241256 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 10-2...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 756 AM CDT WED MAR 24 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION TODAY. THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BRING AN INCREASE IN DEW POINTS TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY...GENERALLY DROPPING TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STARTING TONIGHT AND WORKING EAST ON THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF DRY PERIOD FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE AREA. MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. DRY AND WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 62 65 67 68 69 68 67 RH..............53 50 46 43 43 42 43 47 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 4.2 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.7 7.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 16 17 16 12 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR.................1 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............65 60 57 55 53 52 RH..............50 62 69 77 80 80 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 3 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....7600 7600 5100 1300 700 800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................67 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 35 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............51 57 62 64 RH..............83 69 62 65 20 FT WIND......S 6G15 S 8G20 S 10G20 S 8G20 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1500 2800 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 SW 25 S 31 S 35 CWR.............70 70 70 70 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100324.TA102.01/PAH