FNUS72 KTAE 241159
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMR 204   207...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
759 AM EDT WED MAR 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...WARMING TEMPERATURES TODAY AND DEW POINTS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S WILL PUSH HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE LOWER AND MID
30S ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECT TO SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR
INLAND AREAS OF FLORIDA ROUGHLY EAST OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER
THIS AFTERNOON. RED FLAG CRITERIA IS NOT FORECAST TO BE MET NEAR
THE COAST INCLUDING THE FIRE SITE. THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE WILL
LIMIT DURATIONS IN THESE AREAS. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BRING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION
FROM LATE THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...CURRENT FORECASTS
KEEP HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
                    TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 42.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     68     70     72     68     63
RH..............55     48     45     41     49     61
20 FT WIND......E 2    SE 5   S 6    S 6    SW 3   S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 7.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 54.

$$
FORECASTER...CAMP/WOOL
REQUESTED BY...GREG TITUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100324.SMR20.01/TAE