FNUS73 KICT 250954 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKMAN THURSDAY...KANSAS FOREST SVC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 454 AM CDT THU MAR 25 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT HAS BROUGHT RAIN TO THE AREA OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS WILL PUSH EAST TODAY TAKING THE RAIN CHANCES WITH IT. SE KS WILL HAVE THE BEST SHOT AT CONTINUING TO SEE PRECIP TODAY. BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA WILL BE EXPERIENCING SUNNY SKIES WITH ONLY SOME CLOUDS OVER SE KS. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST TODAY FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WHICH WILL BE CLOSER TO THE SURFACE LOW. LOCATIONS THAT SEE SUN TODAY WILL SEE VERY DEEP MIXING TO AROUND 800MB WHICH WILL MAKE FOR LARGE TEMP/DEW SPREADS AND LOW RH'S THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE DANGER LOOKS TO INCREASE ON FRI WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING AS LEE TROUGHING STRENGTHENS. LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF I-135 MAY SEE SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 40 MPH BY FRI AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 21 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........70 59 47 41 38 32 27 21 15 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW TEMP............46 49 51 53 54 55 56 56 55 RH..............57 49 42 38 34 31 30 31 34 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 11 11 12 11 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 30 25 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.7 5.3 4.8 4.4 MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N MIXNG WIND SPD..29 29 29 29 28 25 23 21 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........13 10 8 5 8 11 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 47 43 40 38 37 RH..............39 53 64 71 77 81 20 FT WIND......N 6 NE 5 E 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 1500 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......N 16 NE 14 E 13 SE 12 SE 10 SE 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........13 21 30 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 44 57 62 RH..............84 60 40 34 20 FT WIND......SE 6G10 S 10G20 S 14G30 S 15G30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1100 3500 3900 MIXNG WIND......SE 18 S 24 S 30 S 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...LAWSON REQUESTED BY...ERIC WARD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100325.JACKM.01/ICT