FNUS75 KGJT 252246
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PACK CREEK PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
446 PM MDT THU MAR 25 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN EARLY SPRING STORM WILL ROLL OVER THE FIRE SITE TODAY BRINGING
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATED
THAT THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL PASS OVER THE
FIRE SITE AROUND 1100 WHICH IS WHEN SHOWERS WILL BECOME MOST
NUMEROUS...CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WILL LIKELY
BEGIN AS RAIN OR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...BECOMING ALL SNOW BEHIND
THE FRONT. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE DURING THE NIGHT WITH
ONLY A FEW SHOWERS LINGERING OVER HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE EAST ON
SATURDAY.

.TODAY (FRIDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH THROUGH 1100...
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST WITH FRONTAL
                    PASSAGE AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 550 BY 1200...HIGHER VALUES
                    ARE LIKELY IN SHOWERS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER 2100.
CLEARING INDEX......DECREASING TO 300 AFTER 2200.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AT 10 TO 15 MPH AROUND 1200.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 1050 BY 1300.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...JAMES WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100326.PACKC.01/GJT