FNUS74 KOUN 261416 AAA
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK KETTLE RX...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
916 AM CDT FRI MAR 26 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 CDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE
WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS TO INCREASE THE WILDFIRE
POTENTIAL TODAY. WEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE EVEN STRONGER SATURDAY
AS STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THERE WILL ALSO
BE A CHANCE FOR RAIN SATURDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 29 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 40 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............39     53     63     67     68     67
RH..............64     43     34     29     28     28
20 FT WIND......S 16   S 23   S 28   S 29   S 26   S 26
20 FT WIND GUST.25     35     45     45     45     40
MIX HGT (FT)....1300   2400   3400   4200   4700   4700
MIX HGT (M).....400    730    1040   1280   1430   1430
TRANSPORT WIND..S 25   S 36   S 40   S 37   S 36   S 38
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 11   S 16   S 18   S 17   S 16   S 17

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14 TO
                    16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 33 TO 39 MPH DECREASING TO 23 TO 28 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    13 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 16 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 26 TO
                    31 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-5000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 35 TO
                    43 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTH 44 TO 47 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...MAXWELL
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN J  THOMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100326.BLACK.02/OUN