FNUS73 KPAH 271340 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR GAMMA...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 840 AM CDT SAT MAR 27 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA WHILE A SPRING STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE QUAD STATE FROM THE WEST TODAY. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING SOUTHEAST WINDS WITH SOME GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW...WITH MUCH OF THE AREA EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI DIPPING INTO THE 30S THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...BUT DRY WEATHER AND A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP ARE FORECAST MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NEXT WEEK...AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION. CURRENT HUMIDITY FORECASTS INDICATE MINIMUMS IN THE 30S OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THIS PERIOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 62. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3500-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............48 52 55 58 59 61 61 61 60 RH..............56 50 47 44 44 42 44 46 49 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 10 10 11 11 10 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 2.0 2.8 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.7 4.9 4.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 21 21 23 25 25 23 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH...GUSTS TO 15 MPH. CWR.................100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-2400 FT AGL IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 17 TO 24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............59 55 52 51 49 48 RH..............53 66 77 83 89 93 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 S 8 S 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 2400 900 1200 800 900 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 8 SE 10 SE 18 S 24 S 22 CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. CWR.................74 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-5900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............48 51 54 55 RH..............89 80 69 64 20 FT WIND......SW 6G15 W 7G20 N 10G25 N 10G20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 3500 4400 5900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 SW 16 SW 9 NW 10 CWR.............70 70 70 70 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...RAYMOND J PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100327.GAMMA.01/PAH