FNUS73 KAPX 291535
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOLI  4...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1135 AM EDT MON MAR 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS NORTHERN
MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING CLEARING SKIES TO THE REGION.
INITIAL NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH FOR THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL VEER MORE EASTERLY AT THE BURN SITE BY
LATE AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN...AND AS WE PICK UP A BIT OF
A LAKE HURON LAKE BREEZE COMPONENT. WIND SPEEDS 10 MPH OR LESS ARE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

HUMIDITY VALUES...A DRIER AIRMASS IS IN THE PROCESS OF OVERSPREADING
THE REGION TODAY AND WILL ULTIMATELY DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
TO DOWN AROUND 30 PERCENT BY 4 PM. BUT TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO RUN
A LITTLE COLDER COMPARED TO SUNDAY...WITH MAX TEMPERATURES ONLY
HITTING THE UPPER 40S AT BEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THROUGH 12 PM...THEN
                    BECOMING SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH
                    UNTIL MID AFTERNOON...VEERING EAST AFTER 3 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    1 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2400 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR (200).

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     47
RH..............40     32
20 FT WIND......NE 5   E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      5
SMOKE DISP......200    200

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........0     10     10     10     28     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     39     35     31     29     27
RH..............35     42     52     63     71     76
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    SE 2   SE 1   SE 1   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5                    5
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4      4      4
SMOKE DISP......200    200    100    0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....57.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM
REQUESTED BY...PAUL LYDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100329.LOLI4.01/APX