FNUS75 KBOU 301053 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 452 AM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PRODUCE SOME CLOUDINESS BUT NO PRECIPITATION THROUGH TONIGHT. SMOKE DISPERAL WILL BE POOR THROUGH 0900 THEN GOOD BY 1100 WITH VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. 20 FOOT WINDS SHOULD INCREASE FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST TO 15-25 MPH BY 1100 WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH BY 1300. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-48 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 52-64 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........45%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST 21-31 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 56-68 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 48-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 1800 FT AGL AFTER 0500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. GOOD AFTER 0400. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 11-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 44-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HORSESHOE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/30-04 50 0 30 47 SW 31 1 311 W 32 8699 P 03/30-05 50 0 30 46 SW 31 1 330 W 32 9259 P 03/30-06 50 0 31 45 W 23 37 3 1 W51 349 W 32 9819 P 03/30-07 50 0 31 44 W 20 1 613 W 36 20268 P 03/30-08 50 0 33 40 W 20 1 878 W 38 30717 P 03/30-09 50 0 37 33 W 21 33 3 1 W58 1143 W 41 41166 F 03/30-10 50 0 42 28 W 21 1 2110 W 45 86341 G 03/30-11 50 0 46 23 W 22 1 3078 SW 47 131517 V 03/30-12 50 0 49 21 W 23 37 3 1 SW68 4045 SW 51 176692 E 03/30-13 50 0 52 19 W 23 1 4571 SW 53 214702 E 03/30-14 50 0 53 18 W 23 1 5098 W 56 252711 E 03/30-15 50 0 54 18 W 24 39 2 1 W79 5624 W 60 290720 E 03/30-16 50 0 54 18 W 26 1 5565 W 62 301235 E 03/30-17 50 0 53 20 W 29 1 5506 W 66 311750 E 03/30-18 43 2 51 22 W 31 49 3 1 W75 5447 W 68 322264 E 03/30-19 43 2 49 24 W 31 1 4945 W 66 285524 E 03/30-20 43 2 46 28 W 31 1 4443 W 64 248783 E 03/30-21 52 2 43 33 W 30 48 3 1 W82 3941 W 62 212042 E 03/30-22 52 2 40 36 W 28 1 3605 W 60 189047 E 03/30-23 52 2 39 39 W 24 1 3270 W 58 166052 E 03/31-00 52 0 37 41 W 23 37 3 1 W84 2934 W 56 143057 V 03/31-01 52 0 36 43 W 24 1 2764 SW 55 133135 V 03/31-02 52 0 35 44 W 26 1 2593 SW 54 123214 V 03/31-03 52 0 35 45 W 28 44 3 1 W92 2423 SW 54 113292 V 03/31-04 52 0 34 45 W 24 1 2150 SW 51 95973 G 03/31-05 52 0 35 43 W 20 1 1877 SW 47 78653 G 03/31-06 59 0 35 42 W 14 22 3 1 W82 1604 SW 44 61334 G 03/31-07 59 0 36 42 W 14 1 2262 SW 47 94929 G 03/31-08 59 0 37 42 W 13 1 2919 SW 49 128523 V 03/31-09 59 0 40 40 W 12 12 3 1 SW77 3577 SW 52 162118 E 03/31-10 59 0 43 36 SW 12 1 4147 SW 52 187254 E 03/31-11 59 0 46 33 SW 12 1 4717 SW 52 212390 E 03/31-12 78 0 49 31 SW 12 12 3 1 SW54 5288 SW 52 237526 E 03/31-13 78 0 51 29 SW 12 1 5465 SW 51 241675 E 03/31-14 78 0 52 28 SW 12 1 5643 SW 51 245824 E 03/31-15 78 0 52 28 SW 12 12 2 1 SW53 5820 SW 49 249973 E 03/31-16 78 0 52 27 SW 13 1 5685 SW 47 235069 E 03/31-17 78 0 51 27 SW 13 1 5549 SW 46 220165 E 03/31-18 87 10 48 29 SW 12 12 2 1 SW78 5413 SW 44 205261 E 03/31-19 87 10 46 30 SW 12 1 4870 SW 43 182581 E 03/31-20 87 10 42 34 SW 12 1 4327 SW 43 159901 E 03/31-21 87 10 38 38 SW 10 10 2 1 SW78 3784 SW 41 137222 V 03/31-22 87 10 35 41 SW 9 1 3082 SW 37 104698 V 03/31-23 87 10 33 44 SW 7 1 2379 SW 32 72174 G 04/01-00 87 10 32 45 SW 6 6 2 1 SW82 1677 SW 28 39651 P 04/01-01 87 10 31 46 SW 7 1 1675 SW 29 42395 F 04/01-02 87 10 30 46 W 7 1 1673 SW 31 45138 F 04/01-03 87 10 29 46 W 8 8 2 1 SW89 1671 SW 33 47882 F 04/01-04 87 10 29 46 W 8 1 1784 SW 32 49389 F 04/01-05 87 10 29 45 SW 7 1 1896 SW 31 50895 F 04/01-06 87 10 29 44 SW 7 7 2 1 SW84 2008 SW 30 52401 F 04/01-07 87 10 30 44 SW 7 1 2744 SW 30 70207 G 04/01-08 87 10 31 44 S 6 1 3480 SW 29 88013 G 04/01-09 87 10 33 41 S 5 5 2 1 SW81 4216 SW 29 105818 V 04/01-10 87 10 37 37 S 6 1 4658 SW 28 113053 V 04/01-11 87 10 39 35 S 7 1 5100 SW 28 120287 V 04/01-12 87 20 42 33 S 7 7 2 1 SW89 5542 SW 26 127521 V 04/01-13 87 20 43 31 S 7 1 5803 SW 25 125264 V 04/01-14 87 20 45 30 S 7 1 6064 SW 23 123007 V 04/01-15 87 20 45 29 SW 8 8 2 1 SW59 6325 SW 22 120750 V 04/01-16 87 20 45 29 SW 9 1 6070 SW 22 114522 V 04/01-17 87 20 43 31 W 12 1 5815 S 22 108293 V 04/01-18 87 20 40 46 W 10 10 2 1 S46 5560 S 21 102064 V 04/01-19 87 20 38 47 W 10 1 5452 S 22 102374 V 04/01-20 87 20 35 51 W 10 1 5343 S 22 102684 V 04/01-21 87 20 30 58 W 10 10 2 1 S38 5234 S 23 102994 V 04/01-22 87 20 28 62 W 10 1 5196 SW 23 102075 V 04/01-23 87 20 26 63 W 10 1 5157 SW 23 101155 V 04/02-00 87 20 24 64 W 10 10 3 1 S37 5119 SW 23 100236 V 04/02-01 87 20 23 64 W 10 1 5097 SW 22 98483 G 04/02-02 87 20 22 64 W 9 1 5076 SW 22 96729 G 04/02-03 87 20 21 63 W 8 8 2 1 S28 5055 SW 22 94976 G 04/02-04 87 20 21 62 W 8 1 5090 SW 21 89715 G 04/02-05 87 20 21 60 W 7 1 5126 W 18 84454 G 04/02-06 72 20 21 58 NW 6 6 2 1 SW14 5161 W 17 79193 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHAMP REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100330.HORSE.01/BOU