FNUS75 KGJT 301702
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKTAIL...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1102 AM MDT TUE MAR 30 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG PACIFIC STORM DEVELOPING ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT THE AREA TODAY PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS. SLOPE AND VALLEY
BREEZES THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER 1000 AND
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AFTER
1400. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG IN THE EARLY EVENING
THEN SLOWLY DECREASE AFTER ABOUT 2100. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH THEY WILL BE A BIT WEAKER
THAN TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD THROUGH 1200...INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25 MPH
                    BY 1300.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    45 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH 2000...DECREASING
                    TO 10 TO 20 MPH FROM 2000 THROUGH 2400.
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (4100-32900 KNOT-FT) BY 0200.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 800 FT AGL BY 0200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH THROUGH 2000...THEN DECREASING
                    TO 20 MPH FROM 2000 THROUGH MIDNIGHT. LOWERING
                    FURTHER OVERNIGHT BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH
                    AROUND 0200.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH THROUGH 0900...BECOMING SOUTH
                            7 TO 12 MPH BY 1100...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR AROUND 0900...INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTH 15 MPH BY 1000...INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 28 MPH BY 1300.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...DALE BECKERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100330.BLACK.01/GJT