FNUS74 KLZK 301312 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST HORSESHOE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 812 AM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED AND IS VALID THROUGH THURSDAY DUE TO POSSIBLE LOW FUEL MOISTURE...LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND ELEVATED WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL BRING MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS... WITH SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW FUEL MOISTURE...AND LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS WELL AS INCREASING WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS TODAY...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. TODAY...MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT IN MUCH OF THE AREA. ON WEDNESDAY...MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE HIGHER..RANGING FROM 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 MPH LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOWER 80S IN MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. ON THURSDAY...WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY...BUT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT ABOUT 35 PERCENT AS HIGHER DEWPOINTS ADVECT INTO THE REGION. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY COME CLOSE TO RED FLAG CRITERIA ON WEDNESDAY IN MUCH OF THE AREA. THUS...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE BE POSTED AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY MORNING...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5000 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH BY AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............62 66 70 72 74 75 75 75 RH..............43 38 33 31 28 28 28 28 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 12 12 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.23 24 25 26 29 30 32 30 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 33 TO 41 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....5. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............73 67 62 59 56 54 RH..............29 38 51 58 66 73 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.33 37 39 40 41 41 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....80. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 35 TO 40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............53 59 71 78 RH..............77 62 41 32 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 7 10 9 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 10 15 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.40 38 35 35 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...DOUG NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100330.EASTH.01/LZK