FNUS73 KUNR 292001
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PICNIC CAVERN KINE RX...SD-BKF N ZONE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
201 PM MDT MON MAR 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH HIGHS REACHING THE
LOWER 70S AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT 15 TO 20 PERCENT.
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 9 TO 15 MPH...BUT
WILL BE DECREASING LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY EVENING WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST...BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY WITH A
CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE LOWER 50S WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 30 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
                    TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...BECOMING WEST WINDS 9 TO 15
                    MPH...DECREASING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 28 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 14 TO 23 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 TO 1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20
                    TO 24 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS MAINLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................17 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...PLOCEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100330.PICNI.01/UNR