FNUS75 KBOU 311034 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 433 AM MDT WED MAR 31 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW AOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA WITH SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1500. WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BE SOUTHWEST AT 15-20 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 30 MPH. BY 1000 THIS MORNING WINDS SHOULD BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY AS A WEAK FRONT OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO BACKS INTO THE FOOTHILLS. SMOKE DISPERSAL SHOULD BE GOOD THROUGH 1100 AND THEN VERY GOOD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........27%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 11-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 7600-8600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27. MAX HUMIDITY........68%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 11-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 2200. 600-1200 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....44. MIN HUMIDITY........34%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 8-11 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HORSESHOE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/31-04 52 0 34 45 W 24 1 1663 W 49 71801 G 03/31-05 52 0 35 43 W 18 1 1690 W 49 72248 G 03/31-06 59 0 35 42 W 21 33 3 1 SW87 1716 W 48 72696 G 03/31-07 59 0 36 41 W 18 1 2298 W 47 92685 G 03/31-08 59 0 37 40 W 14 1 2879 SW 46 112674 V 03/31-09 59 0 40 37 SW 10 10 3 1 SW91 3460 SW 44 132663 V 03/31-10 59 0 43 34 SW 12 1 4281 SW 41 152202 E 03/31-11 59 0 46 32 S 15 1 5101 SW 39 171741 E 03/31-12 76 0 49 31 S 17 28 2 1 SW85 5921 SW 37 191280 E 03/31-13 76 0 51 29 S 17 1 6856 SW 38 225206 E 03/31-14 76 0 52 28 S 16 1 7791 SW 38 259132 E 03/31-15 76 10 52 27 S 15 24 2 1 W69 8726 SW 39 293059 E 03/31-16 76 10 52 27 S 14 1 7953 SW 37 256371 E 03/31-17 76 10 51 28 S 14 1 7181 SW 35 219683 E 03/31-18 87 20 48 32 S 13 13 2 1 SW63 6409 SW 33 182995 E 03/31-19 87 20 46 34 S 10 1 5979 SW 30 159619 E 03/31-20 87 20 42 39 S 9 1 5548 SW 28 136243 V 03/31-21 87 20 38 46 S 8 8 2 1 SW64 5118 SW 25 112868 V 03/31-22 87 20 35 51 S 8 1 3806 SW 26 85236 G 03/31-23 87 20 33 56 SW 9 1 2494 SW 28 57604 F 04/01-00 87 24 32 59 SW 10 10 2 1 SW63 1182 SW 29 29972 P 04/01-01 87 24 30 62 SW 14 1 960 SW 31 25009 P 04/01-02 87 24 29 65 SW 17 1 737 SW 32 20045 P 04/01-03 87 24 29 66 W 20 31 2 1 SW61 515 SW 33 15082 P 04/01-04 87 24 28 68 W 18 1 694 SW 33 19615 P 04/01-05 87 24 29 67 W 15 1 872 W 32 24148 P 04/01-06 76 30 29 66 W 10 10 2 1 SW51 1051 W 31 28680 P 04/01-07 76 30 30 44 SW 9 1 1508 SW 31 40750 F 04/01-08 76 30 30 46 SW 8 1 1966 SW 31 52820 F 04/01-09 76 30 32 44 SW 6 6 2 1 SW63 2423 SW 31 64890 G 04/01-10 76 30 34 41 S 7 1 3418 SW 29 83852 G 04/01-11 76 30 36 39 S 7 1 4414 SW 28 102813 V 04/01-12 76 30 38 38 S 7 7 2 1 SW61 5410 SW 26 121775 V 04/01-13 76 30 39 36 S 6 1 5445 S 23 110459 V 04/01-14 76 30 40 35 S 5 1 5480 S 21 99142 G 04/01-15 76 30 41 34 S 3 3 2 1 S36 5515 S 18 87826 G 04/01-16 76 30 41 34 SW 6 1 5458 S 20 92001 G 04/01-17 76 30 39 36 SW 9 1 5400 SW 21 96175 G 04/01-18 91 30 37 52 W 10 10 3 1 S26 5343 W 22 100350 V 04/01-19 91 30 35 53 W 10 1 5275 SW 21 96105 G 04/01-20 91 30 32 56 W 10 1 5208 SW 21 91859 G 04/01-21 91 30 29 61 W 10 10 2 1 S29 5140 SW 20 87614 G 04/01-22 91 30 27 64 W 9 1 5102 SW 20 85914 G 04/01-23 91 30 25 65 W 8 1 5063 W 20 84214 G 04/02-00 91 30 24 65 W 7 7 2 1 S17 5025 W 18 82514 G 04/02-01 91 30 23 65 W 6 1 5006 W 20 82620 G 04/02-02 91 30 22 63 W 6 1 4988 W 20 82726 G 04/02-03 91 30 21 62 W 5 5 3 1 NW13 4969 W 20 82833 G 04/02-04 91 30 21 61 W 7 1 4999 NW 23 100889 V 04/02-05 91 30 21 59 NW 8 1 5029 NW 28 118945 V 04/02-06 88 20 22 58 NW 10 10 2 1 NW18 5059 NW 31 137002 V 04/02-07 88 20 22 58 NW 12 1 5170 NW 31 138066 V 04/02-08 88 20 23 60 NW 12 1 5281 NW 30 139131 V 04/02-09 88 20 24 58 NW 13 13 2 1 NW30 5392 NW 30 140195 V 04/02-10 88 20 27 56 NW 12 1 6659 NW 29 166088 E 04/02-11 88 20 29 54 NW 12 1 7927 NW 28 191980 E 04/02-12 66 20 30 53 NW 10 10 2 1 NW36 9194 NW 28 217873 E 04/02-13 66 20 32 51 NW 10 1 9414 NW 26 213981 E 04/02-14 66 20 33 50 NW 9 1 9634 NW 25 210090 E 04/02-15 66 20 33 49 NW 9 9 2 1 NW32 9854 NW 24 206198 E 04/02-16 66 20 33 49 W 8 1 9165 NW 24 193500 E 04/02-17 66 20 32 50 W 8 1 8477 W 24 180802 E 04/02-18 57 0 31 64 W 8 8 2 1 NW32 7788 W 25 168104 E 04/02-19 57 0 30 63 W 7 1 7023 W 26 156848 E 04/02-20 57 0 28 65 W 7 1 6257 W 28 145591 V 04/02-21 57 0 27 68 W 6 6 2 1 NW52 5492 W 28 134334 V 04/02-22 57 0 25 69 W 8 1 4740 W 30 119343 V 04/02-23 57 0 24 69 W 9 1 3987 W 31 104353 V 04/03-00 36 0 24 68 W 10 10 3 1 NW51 3235 W 32 89362 G 04/03-01 36 0 23 66 W 10 1 3020 W 33 87064 G 04/03-02 36 0 23 64 W 10 1 2805 W 35 84765 G 04/03-03 36 0 22 61 W 12 12 2 1 W37 2590 W 37 82467 G 04/03-04 36 0 22 59 W 13 1 2413 W 37 77898 G 04/03-05 36 0 22 57 W 13 1 2237 W 38 73329 G 04/03-06 35 0 22 56 W 14 14 2 1 W55 2060 W 38 68761 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHAMP REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100331.HORSE.02/BOU