FNUS75 KBOU 311425 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDEPENDENCE MTN...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 825 AM MDT WED MAR 31 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT JUST PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO. THE FRONT WILL RECEDE NORTH AGAIN AS STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN. SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER AND HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER TODAY. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BECOME EXCELLENT ONCE THE SOUTHWEST WINDS KICK IN. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50. MIN HUMIDITY........28-32%. WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. NORTH WINDS 5-12 MPH. SOUTHWEST SHIFTING 23-32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH AFTER 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-44 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 5600-6600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28. MAX HUMIDITY........80-80%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 18-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN 12-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25-36 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 400 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43. MIN HUMIDITY........35-43%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 12-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDEPENDENCE MTN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/31-08 81 10 32 49 SW 17 1 1663 SW 25 37797 P 03/31-09 81 10 35 44 SW 23 37 3 1 SW85 2039 SW 28 48554 F 03/31-10 81 10 38 39 SW 25 1 3196 SW 32 98457 G 03/31-11 81 10 41 36 SW 28 1 4353 SW 37 148361 V 03/31-12 86 25 43 33 SW 29 46 2 1 SW78 5511 SW 41 198264 E 03/31-13 86 25 45 31 SW 29 1 6024 SW 40 213324 E 03/31-14 86 25 46 30 SW 28 1 6537 SW 40 228383 E 03/31-15 86 25 47 29 SW 26 43 2 1 SW71 7050 SW 40 243443 E 03/31-16 86 25 47 29 SW 26 1 6550 SW 39 224334 E 03/31-17 86 25 45 31 SW 26 1 6051 SW 39 205225 E 03/31-18 88 40 43 34 S 26 43 3 1 SW61 5551 SW 39 186117 E 03/31-19 88 40 41 36 S 25 1 3856 SW 33 127124 V 03/31-20 88 40 38 41 S 24 1 2160 S 28 68132 G 03/31-21 88 40 34 47 S 23 37 3 1 SW67 465 S 23 9139 P 03/31-22 88 40 32 52 S 21 1 474 S 21 8485 P 03/31-23 88 40 30 56 SW 20 1 484 SW 18 7831 P 04/01-00 88 58 29 59 SW 17 28 3 1 SW55 493 SW 17 7177 P 04/01-01 88 58 28 62 SW 15 1 473 SW 15 6415 P 04/01-02 88 58 27 64 S 14 1 453 S 14 5653 P 04/01-03 88 58 26 65 S 13 13 3 1 SW52 433 S 13 4891 P 04/01-04 88 58 26 67 S 13 1 399 S 14 4859 P 04/01-05 88 58 26 66 SW 14 1 366 SW 15 4826 P 04/01-06 96 70 26 65 SW 16 25 4 1 SW71 333 SW 16 4794 P 04/01-07 96 70 27 52 S 18 1 588 S 16 8096 P 04/01-08 96 70 27 52 S 16 1 842 S 16 11397 P 04/01-09 96 70 29 47 S 15 15 3 1 S43 1097 S 15 14699 P 04/01-10 96 70 31 42 S 17 1 2283 S 22 57792 F 04/01-11 96 70 33 38 S 21 1 3470 S 29 100884 V 04/01-12 96 70 34 35 SW 20 30 3 1 SW55 4656 SW 36 143977 V 04/01-13 96 70 35 33 SW 17 1 5039 SW 29 123177 V 04/01-14 96 70 36 31 SW 15 1 5422 SW 23 102378 V 04/01-15 96 70 36 30 W 14 14 4 1 S31 5806 W 16 81578 G 04/01-16 96 70 36 30 W 15 1 5674 SW 21 99476 G 04/01-17 96 70 35 31 W 16 1 5542 SW 24 117374 V 04/01-18 97 70 32 43 SW 17 17 3 1 S31 5410 SW 29 135272 V 04/01-19 97 70 30 44 SW 17 1 4422 SW 28 107766 V 04/01-20 97 70 27 49 SW 18 1 3434 SW 26 80261 G 04/01-21 97 70 24 56 SW 18 18 4 1 S36 2447 SW 25 52755 F 04/01-22 97 70 21 60 W 15 1 1936 W 20 37952 P 04/01-23 97 70 20 64 W 12 1 1426 W 15 23148 P 04/02-00 97 70 18 66 W 9 9 4 1 W12 915 W 10 8345 P 04/02-01 97 70 17 69 NW 13 1 1182 NW 15 17679 P 04/02-02 97 70 16 71 NW 15 1 1449 NW 20 27013 P 04/02-03 97 70 16 73 NW 22 33 4 1 NW12 1715 NW 24 36347 P 04/02-04 97 70 15 75 NW 22 1 1939 N 24 41316 F 04/02-05 97 70 16 75 NW 22 1 2163 N 24 46285 F 04/02-06 90 60 16 75 N 22 33 3 1 NW26 2387 N 24 51254 F 04/02-07 90 60 17 77 N 22 1 3265 N 25 72469 G 04/02-08 90 60 17 79 N 21 1 4143 N 25 93684 G 04/02-09 90 60 19 74 N 21 31 3 1 NW31 5021 N 26 114899 V 04/02-10 90 60 22 70 NW 20 1 6348 N 25 139638 V 04/02-11 90 60 25 65 NW 18 1 7675 NW 25 164377 E 04/02-12 91 60 26 62 NW 15 15 3 1 NW29 9002 NW 24 189115 E 04/02-13 91 60 28 58 NW 14 1 9159 NW 23 182755 E 04/02-14 91 60 29 56 NW 13 1 9316 NW 22 176395 E 04/02-15 91 60 30 53 NW 12 12 3 1 NW25 9472 NW 21 170036 E 04/02-16 91 60 29 52 W 12 1 8719 W 22 164804 E 04/02-17 91 60 29 52 W 13 1 7966 W 23 159573 E 04/02-18 82 20 27 46 W 13 13 2 1 NW35 7213 W 24 154342 E 04/02-19 82 20 26 47 W 15 1 6342 W 26 143007 V 04/02-20 82 20 25 51 SW 16 1 5470 W 29 131671 V 04/02-21 82 20 23 55 SW 17 17 2 1 NW59 4599 W 30 120336 V 04/02-22 82 20 21 58 SW 21 1 3892 W 33 109861 V 04/02-23 82 20 20 61 SW 23 1 3185 SW 38 99386 G 04/03-00 62 10 20 62 SW 26 40 2 1 NW46 2477 SW 41 88912 G 04/03-01 62 10 19 64 SW 28 1 2025 SW 40 72039 G 04/03-02 62 10 18 65 SW 29 1 1573 SW 40 55167 F 04/03-03 62 10 18 67 SW 30 45 2 1 W45 1120 SW 39 38295 P 04/03-04 62 10 18 68 SW 29 1 1048 SW 38 35155 P 04/03-05 62 10 18 69 SW 26 1 976 SW 38 32015 P 04/03-06 62 10 18 69 SW 24 37 2 1 W60 904 SW 37 28875 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ST MARTIN REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100331.INDEP.01/BOU