FNUS74 KLZK 311218 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST HORSESHOE SOUTH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 718 AM CDT WED MAR 31 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0710 CDT ON MARCH 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... BREEZY SOUTH WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL CREATE AN ENHANCED...POSSIBLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER THREAT THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST RH VALUES OF 25 TO 35 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH BREEZY SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL CREATE CONDITIONS WHERE THE SPREAD OF WILD FIRES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH CONTROLLED BURNS HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO GET OUT OF HAND. WHILE A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME...THE LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND FORECAST DATA WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. IF RH VALUES DROP LOWER THAN EXPECTED...A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE NEEDED. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST UPDATES THIS AFTERNOON. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...INCREASING MOISTURE FROM THE GULF WILL KEEP RH VALUES HIGHER THAN THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN BREEZY FROM THE SOUTH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 28 TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............61 64 66 68 71 73 76 78 79 79 79 78 RH..............81 79 68 57 48 42 38 34 32 31 32 32 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.29 29 29 28 28 28 28 29 29 30 32 32 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....53. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 25 TO 33 MPH. STABILITY CLASS.....5. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 71 65 61 58 56 RH..............32 41 52 60 67 74 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 10 S 10 S 12 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 15 15 15 15 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 6 7 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.13 8 8 8 8 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.32 33 32 30 28 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....80. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 24 TO 33 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 58 71 79 RH..............80 69 44 34 20 FT WIND......S 9G10 S 12G15 S 14G15 S 15G20 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 7 8 9 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 8 10 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.24 25 29 31 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...DOUG NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100331.EASTH.01/LZK