FNUS73 KMPX 311021
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ERICKSON...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
521 AM CDT WED MAR 31 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA AFTER 1 PM...
SWITCHING THE WIND FROM SOUTHEAST TO MORE WEST IN DIRECTION. THE
SURFACE WIND MAY GUST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
TEMPERATURE WARMS TO NEAR 75F BY 4 PM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
                    TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (21900-66500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (70800-83300) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6100 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     61     68     73     75     74
RH..............55     49     40     34     31     32
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SW 10  SW 10  W 10   W 10   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2100-44900) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (69700-109200) LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 22 TO
                    28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WFO MPX
REQUESTED BY...JOEL KEMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100331.ERICK.01/MPX