FNUS73 KPAH 302218 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 518 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... WARM...DRY...AND WINDY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE WEEK. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH...WARMER SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE 70S EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...PERHAPS EVEN NEARING 80 AT A FEW LOCATIONS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE QUITE LOW EACH AFTERNOON. WITH THE COMBINATION OF THE DRY HUMIDITY LEVELS...LOW FUEL MOISTURE... AND STRONG WINDS...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI FROM LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. REFER TO THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH PRODUCT FOR MORE DETAILS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER THE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTH FROM THE LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION AS IT WEAKENS. THIS FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS... ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............63 56 53 51 RH..............48 62 68 76 20 FT WIND......S 6G10 S 6G10 S 6G10 S 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 10 S 10 S 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 31 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 53 57 61 64 68 70 72 73 74 73 72 RH..............69 61 52 45 40 36 33 32 31 31 32 35 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 15 20 25 28 29 30 31 31 31 31 30 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFOPADUCAH REQUESTED BY...KEITH P KELLEY FMO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100331.GOOSE.01/PAH