FNUS73 KFGF 011337 FWSFGF SPOT FORECAST FOR LILLEMOEN...USFWS FERGUS FALLS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 837 AM CDT THU APR 1 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE AN EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION TODAY. THERE WILL BE A RISK OF SHOWERS OVER WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WITH RAIN LIKELY IN THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY AND DEVILS LAKE BASIN. NORTHWEST MINNESOTA WILL BE IN THE TRANSITION ZONE BETWEEN STEADIER RAINS AND SHOWERS. DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A DRY HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE EAST OF THE REGION A DRY LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW WILL MAKE THE AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH FORECAST ESPECIALLY DIFFICULT. THE LOWEST RH'S THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE WHERE PRECIPITATION HAS NOT YET FORMED AND THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS IS THE LOWEST. THIS WILL GENERALLY BE OVER WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA. DISPERSION WILL IMPROVE SOMEWHAT AS WINDS IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE CONTINUE TO INCREASE. AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS EVENING THERE IS A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE LOW CONTINUES NORTH AND EAST WINDS WILL TURN NORTHERLY...THEN DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT BEHIND THE LOW WILL VEER WINDS TO THE WEST FRIDAY BEFORE TURNING NORTH LATE FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67. MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........57 58 60 62 63 65 66 67 69 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............51 53 56 59 61 63 64 64 64 RH..............54 50 44 39 39 40 44 50 50 20 FT WIND DIR..E NE NE NE NE NE NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 12 14 14 14 14 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........70 74 78 82 87 90 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............62 57 53 50 47 45 RH..............54 65 77 81 85 90 20 FT WIND......E 11 E 9 E 7 SE 6 SE 8 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 10 15 15 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 20 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........92 89 84 85 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............44 46 49 50 RH..............93 83 71 66 20 FT WIND......SW 12G20 W 11G20 NW 9G15 NW 9G15 $$ FORECASTER...EWENS REQUESTED BY...TROY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100401.LILLE.01/FGF